Publications

The Gnat and the Bull: Do Climate Outlook Forums Make a Difference?

Gerlak, A.K., S.J. Mason, M. Daly, D. Liverman, Z. Guido, M.B. Soares, C. Vaughan, C. Knudson, C. Greene, J. Buizer, K. Jacobs. “The Gnat and the Bull: Do Climate Outlook Forums Make a Difference?” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0008.1 Published Online: 5 February 2020

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The IPBES Global Assessment: Pathways to Action

Ruckelshaus, M.H., S.T. Jackson, H.A. Mooney, K.L. Jacobs, K.S. Kassam, M.T.K. Arroyo, A. Baldi, A.M. Bartuska, J. Boyd, L.N. Joppa, A. Kovacs-Hostyanszki, J.P. Parsons, R.J. Scholes, J.F. Shogren, Z. Ouyang, 2020. The IPBES Global Assessment: Pathways to Action. Trends in Ecology and Evolution.

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Reimagining the Colorado River by exploring extreme events

Jacobs, K. L., A. McCoy, S. Martin, and A. K. Gerlak (2020), Reimagining the Colorado River by exploring extreme events, Eos, 101, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EO151369. Published on 12 November 2020.

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Evaluating Knowledge to Support Climate Action: A Framework for Sustained Assessment, Report of an Independent Advisory Committee on Applied Climate Assessment

Moss, R., … K. Jacobs et al., “Evaluating Knowledge to Support Climate Action: A Framework for Sustained Assessment, Report of an Independent Advisory Committee on Applied Climate Assessment." Weather, Climate and Society, July 2019, Vol. 11, No. 3.

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Mapping Climate Exposure and Climate Information Needs to Utility Business Functions

Wasley, E., K. Jacobs, and J. Weiss, 2019. “Mapping Climate Exposure and Climate Information Needs to Utility Business Functions.” Water Research Foundation Project 4729. 80 p.

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Water, Climate Change and Law: The Case for More Protection

Jacobs, K. “Water, Climate Change and Law: The Case for More Protection” Arizona Journal of Environmental Law and Policy, Spring, 2019, Vol 10, No. 3, 12 pp.

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Building a framework for process-oriented evaluation of Regional Climate Outlook Forums

Gerlak, A.K., Z. Guido, C. Vaughan, V. Rountree, C. Greene, D. Liverman, A. Trotman, R. Mahon, S. Cox, S.J. Mason, K.L. Jacobs, J.L. Buizer, C. Van Meerbeeck, and W.E. Baethgen, 2018. Building a framework for process-oriented evaluation of Regional Climate Outlook Forums, Water, Climate and Society. doi: 10.1175/WCAS-D-17-0029.1

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Colorado River: Building a Science Agenda. Final Workshop Report

Black, M. and K. Jacobs, 2018. “Colorado River: Building a Science Agenda. Final Workshop Report", October 10-12, 2017. NSF Award 1644884. University of Arizona, 94 p.

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Through the Looking Glass: Climate Change and the Future of Water in the Tucson Region

Jacobs, K., 2018. “Through the Looking Glass: Climate Change and the Future of Water in the Tucson Region.” Sonorensis. Vol. 38, No. 1.

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Climate Change: A Strategic Opportunity for Water Managers

Jacobs, K. and P. Fleming, 2017. “Climate Change: A Strategic Opportunity for Water Managers” in The Water Problem: Climate Change and Water Policy in the United States. P. Mulroy, Ed. Brookings Institution Press: ISBN 9780815727842

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Developing an integrated heat health information system for long-term resilience to climate and weather extremes in the El Paso-Juárez-Las Cruces Region

Garfin, G, S LeRoy, and H Jones. Developing an integrated heat health information system for long-term resilience to climate and weather extremes in the El Paso-Juárez-Las Cruces Region.. Tucson: Institute of the Environment, University of Arizona, 2017.

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Developing evaluation indicators to improve the process of co-producing usable climate science

Wall, T, A Meadow, and A Horangic. "Developing evaluation indicators to improve the process of co-producing usable climate science." Weather, Climate, and Society9, no. 1 (2017).

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Discerning "flavors" of drought using climate extremes indices

Crimmins, M A.D B. FergusonA M. Meadow, and J L. Weiss. "Discerning "flavors" of drought using climate extremes indices." JAMC (2017).

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Our climate is doing what?

Meadow, A, and D Ferguson. "Our climate is doing what?" Rural Connections 11, no. 1 (2017): 41-44.

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Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change

National Research Council, 2016. (Jacobs panel member), Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change. Washington, DC: the National Academies Press.

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Climate in Context: Science and Society Partnering for Adaptation

Parris, A.S., G.M. Garfin, K. Dow, R. Meyer, and S.L. Close. Climate in Context: Science and Society Partnering for Adaptation.. New York: J. Wiley and Sons, 2016.

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Engaging Southwestern Tribes in sustainable water resources topics and management

Chief, K., A. Meadow, and K. Whyte. "Engaging Southwestern Tribes in sustainable water resources topics and management." Journal of Water 8 (2016).

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Evaluation to advance science policy: lessons from Pacific RISA and CLIMAS

Ferguson, D.B., M.L. Finucane, V.W. Keener, and G. Owen. "Evaluation to advance science policy: lessons from Pacific RISA and CLIMAS." In Climate in Context: Science and Society Partnering for Adaptation. John Wiley and Sons, 2016.

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From principles to action: Applying the National Research Council’s Principles for Effective Decision Support to the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s Watch Office

Meadow, A.M.Z. GuidoM.A. Crimmins, and J. Mcleod. "From principles to action: Applying the National Research Council’s Principles for Effective Decision Support to the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s Watch Office. ." Climate Services 1 (2016): 12-23.

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Global mega drought: Past and future

Overpeck, J.T.. "Global mega drought: Past and future." Annual Review of Environment and Resources 4 (2016).

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Government: Plan for Ecosystem Services

Joppa, L.N., J.W. Boyd, C.S. Duke, S. Hampton, S.T. Jackson, K.L. Jacobs, K.S. Kassam, H.A. Mooney, L.A. Ogden, M.Ruckelshaus, J.F. Shogren, 2016. Government: Plan for Ecosystem Services. Science Letters, Vol. 351, No. 6277, p. 1037.

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Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Extreme Precipitation, and Post-fire Flooding. Report to the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, from the project Enhancing Water Supply Reliability

Garfin, G, S LeRoy, D Martin, M Hammersley, A Youberg, and R Quay. Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Extreme Precipitation, and Post-fire Flooding. Report to the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, from the project Enhancing Water Supply Reliability.. Tucson, AZ: Institute of the Environment, University of Arizona, 2016.

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Metrics for assessing adaptive capacity and water security: Common challenges, diverging contexts, emerging consensus

Garfin, G M.C A. ScottR G. Varady, and R Merideth. "Metrics for assessing adaptive capacity and water security: Common challenges, diverging contexts, emerging consensus. ." Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 21 (2016): 86-89.

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Southwest climate gap: poverty and environmental justice in the US Southwest

Wilder, M., D. Liverman, L. Bellante, and T. Osborne. "Southwest climate gap: poverty and environmental justice in the US Southwest." Local Environment 1, no. 22 (2016).

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Supporting adaptation decisions through scenario planning: enabling the effective use of multiple methods

Star, J., E.L. Rowland, M.E. Black, C.A.F. EnquistG. Garfin, Hawkins C. Hoffmann, H. Hartmann, K.L. JacobsR.H. Moss, and A.M. Waple. "Supporting adaptation decisions through scenario planning: enabling the effective use of multiple methods." Climate Risk Management 13 (2016): 88-94.

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The Third US National Climate Assessment: Innovations in Science and Engagement

Jacobs, K.L.J.L. Buizer, and S.C. MoserThe Third US National Climate Assessment: Innovations in Science and Engagement. Climatic Change, 2016.

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Towards a National, Sustained U.S. Ecosystem Assessment

Jackson, S.T., C.S. Duke, S.E. Hampton, K.L. Jacobs, L.N. Joppa, K.S. Kassam, H.A. Mooney, L.A. Ogden, M. Ruckelshaus, J.F. Shogren, 2016. Towards a National, Sustained U.S. Ecosystem Assessment. Science Policy. Vol. 354, No. 6314, p 838-339.

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Adaptation in the water sector: Science and institutions

Jacobs, K.L., and L. Snow. "Adaptation in the water sector: Science and institutions." Dadealus 144, no. 3 (2015): 59-71.

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Aspirations and common tensions: larger lessons from the third US National Climate Assessment

Moser, S.C., J.M. Melillo, K.L. JacobsR.H. Moss, and J.L. Buizer. "Aspirations and common tensions: larger lessons from the third US National Climate Assessment." Climatic Change (2015).

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Building a sustained climate assessment process

Buizer, J.L., K. Dow, M. Black, K.L. JacobsA. WapleR.H. MossS. Moser, A. Luers, D.I. Gustafson, T.C. Richamond et al. "Building a sustained climate assessment process." Climatic Change (2015).

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Building community, credibility and knowledge: the third US National Climate Assessment

Jacobs, K.L., and J.L. Buizer. "Building community, credibility and knowledge: the third US National Climate Assessment." Climatic Change 135, no. 1 (2015): 22.

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California water enters an era of limits

Jacobs, K.L.. "California water enters an era of limits." Journal of Extreme Events 2, no. 1 (2015).

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Designing institutions to support local level climate change adaptation: Insights from a case study of the U.S. Cooperative Extension System

Brugger, J, and C Crimmins. "Designing institutions to support local level climate change adaptation: Insights from a case study of the U.S. Cooperative Extension System." Weather, Climate, and Society 7 (2015): 18-38.

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Innovations in assessment and adaptation: building on the US National Climate Assessment

Howden, M, and K Jacobs. "Innovations in assessment and adaptation: building on the US National Climate Assessment." Climatic Change (2015).

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Lessons from first generation climate science integrators

Brugger, J.A. Meadow, and A. Horangic. "Lessons from first generation climate science integrators." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2015).

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Moving toward the deliberate co-production of climate science knowledge

Meadow, AD FergusonZ Guido, A Horangic, G Owen, and T Wall. "Moving toward the deliberate co-production of climate science knowledge." Weather, Climate, and Society 7, no. 2 (2015): 179-191.

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On underestimation of global vulnerability to tree mortality and forest die-off from hotter drought in the Anthropocene

Allen, C. D., D. D. Breshears, and N. G. McDowell. "On underestimation of global vulnerability to tree mortality and forest die-off from hotter drought in the Anthropocene." Ecosphere 6, no. 8 (2015): 1-55.

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U.S. National climate assessment gaps and research needs: overview, the economy and the international context

Liverman, D.. "U.S. National climate assessment gaps and research needs: overview, the economy and the international context." Climatic Change (2015).

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Assessing the risk of persistent drought using climate model simulations and paleoclimate data

Ault, T.R., J.E. Cole, J.T. Overpeck, G.T. Pederson, and D.M. Meko. "Assessing the risk of persistent drought using climate model simulations and paleoclimate data." Journal of Climate 27 (2014): 7529-7549.

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Capturing provenance of global change information

Ma, X, P Fox, C Tilmes, K Jacobs, and A Waple. "Capturing provenance of global change information." Nature Climate Change 4 (2014): 409-413.

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Ch. 29: Research Needs for Climate and Global Change Assessments

Corell, R W.. "Ch. 29: Research Needs for Climate and Global Change Assessments." Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment(2014).

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The challenge of biodiversity adaptation under climate change

Overpeck, JT. "The challenge of biodiversity adaptation under climate change." in Applied Studies in Climate Adaptation (eds J. P. Palutikof, S. L. Boulter, J. Barnett and D. Rissik) (2014).

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Chapter 20: Southwest

Garfin, G. "Chapter 20: Southwest." Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment (2014).

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Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment

Melillo, J. M., T. C. Richmond, and G. W. Yohe. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, 2014.

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Designing institutions to support local level climate change adaptation: Insights from a case study of the U.S. Cooperative Extension system

Brugger, J., and M.A. Crimmins. "Designing institutions to support local level climate change adaptation: Insights from a case study of the U.S. Cooperative Extension system." Weather, Climate, and Society (2014).

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Guidelines for Considering Traditional Knowledges in Climate Change Initiatives

Guidelines for Considering Traditional Knowledges in Climate Change Initiatives (K. Chief, lead author)., 2014.

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Infrastructure sufficiency in meeting water demand under climate-induced socio-hydrological transition in the urbanizing Capibaribe River Basin – Brazil

A. Neto, Ribeiro, C.A. Scott, de Araújo E. Lima, S.M.G.L. Montenegro, and J.A. Cirilo. "Infrastructure sufficiency in meeting water demand under climate-induced socio-hydrological transition in the urbanizing Capibaribe River Basin – Brazil." Hydrology & Earth System Sciences 18 (2014): 3449-3459.

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Irrigation efficiency and water-policy implications for river-basin resilience

Scott, C.A., S. Vicuña, I. Blanco-Gutiérrez, F. Meza, and C. Varela-Ortega. "Irrigation efficiency and water-policy implications for river-basin resilience." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 18 (2014): 1339-1348.

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Understanding uncertainties in future Colorado River streamflow

Vano, J.A., B. Udall, D.R. Cayan, J.T. Overpeck, LD. Brekke, and et al.. "Understanding uncertainties in future Colorado River streamflow." Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc 95 (2014): 59-78.

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Accelerating climate change adaptation for natural resources in southwestern United States

Cross, M S., P D. McCarthy, G Garfin, D Gori, and C A. F. Enquist. "Accelerating climate change adaptation for natural resources in southwestern United States." Conservation Biology 27, no. 1 (2013): 4-13.

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Accelerating climate change adaptation in vulnerable landscapes across the southwestern United States

Cross, M. S., P. D. McCarthy, G Garfin, D Gori, and C Enquist. "Accelerating climate change adaptation in vulnerable landscapes across the southwestern United States." Conservation Biology 27 (2013): 4-13.

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The art of adaptation: Living with climate change in the rural American Southwest

Brugger, J, and M Crimmins. "The art of adaptation: Living with climate change in the rural American Southwest." Global Environmental Change 23, no. 6 (2013): 1830-1840.

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Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment

Garfin, G, A Jardine, R Merideth, M Black, and S LeRoy. Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. Washington, DC: Island Press, 2013.

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Bridging the science–policy interface: informing climate governance in the US, in Climate Adaptation Futures

Liverman, DBridging the science–policy interface: informing climate governance in the US, in Climate Adaptation Futures, ed. by J Palutikof, S L Boulter, A J Ash, M S Smith, M Parry, M Waschka, and D Guitart. New York: Wiley, 2013.

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Climate science: The challenge of hot drought

Overpeck, J.T.. "Climate science: The challenge of hot drought." Nature 503, no. 7476 (2013): 350-351.

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Draft Third National Climate Assessment

Draft Third National Climate Assessment . U.S. Global Change Research Program, 2013.

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Field of Dreams or Dream Team?: Assessing two models for the drought impact reporting in the semiarid Southwest

Meadow, AM A. Crimmins, and D Ferguson. "Field of Dreams or Dream Team?: Assessing two models for the drought impact reporting in the semiarid Southwest. ." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94 (2013): 1507-1517.

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Hell and high water: Practice-relevant adaptation science

Moss, R H., G A. Meehl, C Lemos, and et al.. "Hell and high water: Practice-relevant adaptation science." Science 342 (2013): 696-698.

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Managing forests and fire in changing climates

Stephens, S.L, J. K. Agee, P. Z. Fule, M. P. North, W. H. Romme, T. W. Swetnam, and M. G. Turner. "Managing forests and fire in changing climates." Science 342, no. 6154 (2013): 41-42.

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Preparing for and managing change: climate adaptation for biodiversity and ecosystems

Stein, B. A., A Staudt, M. S. Cross, N Dubois, C Enquist, R Griffis, L Hansen, J Hellman, J Lawler, E Nelson et al. "Preparing for and managing change: climate adaptation for biodiversity and ecosystems." Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 11 (2013): 502-510.

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Report on Preparing the Nation for Change: Building a Sustained National Climate Assessment Process

Buizer, J, P Fleming, S L. Hays, K Dow, C B. Field, D Gustafson, A Luers, and R H. MossReport on Preparing the Nation for Change: Building a Sustained National Climate Assessment Process. Washington, DC: National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee, 2013.

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Technical Review of the Navajo Nation Drought Contingency Plan - Drought Monitoring

Crimmins, M A., N Selover, K Cozzetto, K Chief, and A MeadowTechnical Review of the Navajo Nation Drought Contingency Plan - Drought Monitoring, submitted to the Navajo Nation Water Management Branch, Feb. 2013., 2013.

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Water security and adaptive management in the arid Americas

Scott, C A., F J. Meza, R G. Varady, H Tiessen, J McEvoy, G M. Garfin, M Wilder, L M. Farfan, Pineda N Pablos, and E Montana. "Water security and adaptive management in the arid Americas." Annals of the Association of American Geographers 103, no. 2 (2013): 280-289.

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Dryland riparian ecosystems in the American Southwest: Sensitivity and resilience to climatic extremes

Stromberg, J. C., K. E. McCluney, M. D. Dixon, and T Meixner. "Dryland riparian ecosystems in the American Southwest: Sensitivity and resilience to climatic extremes." Ecosystems (2012).

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Informing decisions with a climate synthesis product: Implications for regional climate services

Guido, Z, D Hill, M A. Crimmins, and D Ferguson. " Informing decisions with a climate synthesis product: Implications for regional climate services." Weather, Climate, and Society 5 (2012): 83-92.

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Science-policy dialogues for water security: addressing vulnerability and adaptation to global change in the arid Americas

Scott, C.A.R.G. Varady, F. Meza, E. Montaña, G.B. de Raga, B. Luckman, and C. Martius. "Science-policy dialogues for water security: addressing vulnerability and adaptation to global change in the arid Americas." Environment 54, no. 3 (2012): 30-42.

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Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality

Williams, A. P., C. D. Allen, R. D. Griffin, C. A. Woodhouse, D. M. Meko, T. W. Swetnam, S. A. Rauscher, R Seager, H D. Grissino-Mayer, J. S. Dean et al. "Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality." Nature Climate Change 2, no. 10 (2012): 1-6.

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Transboundary adaptive management to reduce climate-change vulnerability in the western U.S.-Mexico border region

Varady, R G.C A. Scott, B Wilder, B Morehouse, N Pineda, and G M. Garfin. "Transboundary adaptive management to reduce climate-change vulnerability in the western U.S.-Mexico border region." Environmental Science & Policy 26 (2012): 102-112.

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Water security and adaptive management in the arid Americas

Scott, C A.R G. Varady, F Meza, E Montana, G B. de Raga, B Luckman, and C Martius. "Water security and adaptive management in the arid Americas." Environment 54, no. 3 (2012).

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Governing International Adaptation

Liverman, DianaGoverning International Adaptation., 2011.

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Mental preparation for climate adaptation: The role of cognition and culture in enhancing adaptive capacity of water management in Kiribati

Kuruppu, N, and D Liverman. "Mental preparation for climate adaptation: The role of cognition and culture in enhancing adaptive capacity of water management in Kiribati." Global Environmental Change 21, no. 2 (2011): 657-669.

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Second century megadrought in the Rio Grande headwaters, Colorado: How unusual was medieval drought?

Routson, C., C. A. Woodhouse, and J. T. Overpeck. "Second century megadrought in the Rio Grande headwaters, Colorado: How unusual was medieval drought?" Geophysical Research Letters 38 (2011).

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Adapting across boundaries: climate change, social learning, and resilience in the U.S.-Mexico border region

Wilder, M, C A. Scott, Pineda N Pablos, R G. VaradyG M. Garfin, and J McEvoy. "Adapting across boundaries: climate change, social learning, and resilience in the U.S.-Mexico border region." Annals of the Association of American Geographers 100, no. 4 (2010): 917-928.

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Adapting to the Impacts of Future Climate Change

America's Climate Choices: Panel on Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change; National Research Council, K.L. Jacobs, and T.J. Wilbanks. Adapting to the Impacts of Future Climate Change. National Academies Press, 2010.

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Confronting environmental challenges on the U.S.-Mexico border: Examining a long-term community-based participatory research program

Austin, D. "Confronting environmental challenges on the U.S.-Mexico border: Examining a long-term community-based participatory research program." Journal of Community Practice 8, no. 2 (2010): 361-395.

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Copenhagen and the Governance of Adaptation

Liverman, D.. "Copenhagen and the Governance of Adaptation." Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development 52, no. 3 (2010): 28-36.

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Developing an ecosystem services online decision support tool to assess the impacts of climate change and urban growth in the Santa Cruz watershed; Where we live, work, and play

Norman, L, N Tallent-Halsell, W Labiosa, M Weber, A McCoy, K Hirschboeck, J Callegary, C van Riper, and F Gray. "Developing an ecosystem services online decision support tool to assess the impacts of climate change and urban growth in the Santa Cruz watershed; Where we live, work, and play." Sustainability 2, no. 7 (2010): 2044-2069.

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How to take climate change into account: A guidance document for judges adjudicating water disputes

Brickey, C, K EngelK Jacobs, J Jolley, D. F. Luecke, and J Overpeck. "How to take climate change into account: A guidance document for judges adjudicating water disputes." Environmental Law Reporter 40 (2010): 11215.

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Informing an Effective Response to Climate Change

America's Climate Choices: Panel on Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change; National Research Council, D Liverman, and P Raven. Informing an Effective Response to Climate Change. National Academies Press, 2010.

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New techniques at the science-policy interface: Climate change adaptation in the water sector

Jacobs, KG Garfin, and J Buizer. "New techniques at the science-policy interface: Climate change adaptation in the water sector." Science and Policy 36, no. 10 (2010): 791-798.

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